Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.002239 0.002400 0.002568 0.002755 0.002959 0.003175 0.003420
2024-12-15 0.002017 0.002243 0.002489 0.002777 0.003106 0.003472 0.003909
2024-12-22 0.001854 0.002124 0.002429 0.002799 0.003238 0.003746 0.004381
2024-12-29 0.001706 0.002003 0.002347 0.002779 0.003309 0.003944 0.004769
2025-01-05 0.001589 0.001905 0.002281 0.002765 0.003377 0.004134 0.005151
2025-01-12 0.001472 0.001796 0.002191 0.002711 0.003386 0.004243 0.005431
2025-01-19 0.001386 0.001719 0.002132 0.002688 0.003428 0.004391 0.005765
2025-01-26 0.001274 0.001601 0.002014 0.002580 0.003347 0.004368 0.005860
2025-02-02 0.001246 0.001590 0.002031 0.002648 0.003503 0.004670 0.006423
2025-02-09 0.001212 0.001567 0.002030 0.002691 0.003625 0.004930 0.006941
2025-02-16 0.001207 0.001583 0.002082 0.002806 0.003853 0.005351 0.007726
2025-02-23 0.001161 0.001540 0.002049 0.002801 0.003908 0.005522 0.008141
2025-03-02 0.001106 0.001485 0.002004 0.002782 0.003952 0.005697 0.008605
2025-03-09 0.001055 0.001434 0.001961 0.002765 0.003998 0.005880 0.009101
2025-03-16 0.001015 0.001396 0.001933 0.002769 0.004075 0.006116 0.009705
2025-03-23 0.000968 0.001347 0.001887 0.002741 0.004101 0.006271 0.010184
2025-03-30 0.000928 0.001305 0.001850 0.002724 0.004141 0.006450 0.010719
2025-04-06 0.000882 0.001251 0.001791 0.002669 0.004116 0.006516 0.011057
2025-04-13 0.000846 0.001212 0.001754 0.002646 0.004141 0.006669 0.011564
2025-04-20 0.000793 0.001143 0.001668 0.002539 0.004018 0.006554 0.011555
2025-04-27 0.000785 0.001143 0.001687 0.002606 0.004194 0.006980 0.012627
2025-05-04 0.000771 0.001134 0.001692 0.002648 0.004330 0.007342 0.013610
2025-05-11 0.000773 0.001150 0.001738 0.002761 0.004598 0.007968 0.015200